"For the next 10 years, I'm long X and short Y."
Most people drift through life passively, making decisions on the fly, reacting to whatever comes next — a job, a trend, a crisis. Most people optimise for comfort rather than conviction. Here’s a better way to look at it:
Every choice you make, how you spend your time, what you consume, who you follow, what you build, is a directional bet on the future. Whether you realize it or not, you’re always long something and short something else.
So why not do it deliberately?
"For the next 10 years, I'm long AI, robotics, and crypto. I'm short alcohol, attention spans, and nationalism."
That sentence alone is a thesis. It tells you where I’m placing my attention and efforts, what I believe will compound over time, and what I’m betting will decay or destroy value. You could take that sentence and reverse-engineer my lifestyle, how I structure my day, what I avoid, who I talk to, and what kinds of information I seek. It's a filter.
This mental model, long/short as life positioning, has several superpowers:
The best part? Your longs and shorts don’t need to be correlated. You’re not a hedge fund. You’re a hooman being, and hoomans benefit from weirdly asymmetric portfolios.
Long crypto. Long monk mode. Short prestige. Long cold showers. Short sugar. Long AGI. Short the news. That’s a portfolio. That’s a direction.
The truth is: people are already in trades. They just don’t know it.
The goal isn’t to be perfect, it’s to be aware. To know what you’re actually betting on.
This framing isn’t just philosophical. It’s part of a larger societal shift.
Historically, “thesis” was the domain of VCs, academics, or think tanks. Now? Individuals talk like funds:
You see this especially in the crypto, AI, and creator ecosystems where people live out directional convictions, not job titles. In a world where leverage is digital and distribution is global, your bets matter more than ever. You’re not just watching history — you’re trading it.
Some might say this framing is too cold — that life is about intuition, presence, meaning. And sure, it is. But this framework doesn’t kill meaning. It amplifies it.
You’re not trading for money, you’re trading for reality.
You're trading for depth, freedom, autonomy, scale, love, and clarity.
All of that requires directional energy, and a directional life.
Write it down.
"I’m long ____, ____, ____."
"I’m short ____, ____, ____."
Then use it to guide your life path:
Treat your life like a trade, not a reaction. The future isn’t neutral, and neither are you.
****This is one part of a much longer series of things I'm in the process of writing. Instead of putting out a 7k-word yap sesh, I've decided to cut it all into smaller parts like this.
****Will post more if I'm able to complete the other parts (unlikely).
****Asked GPT to format it and it made this incredibly gay from a formatting pov, but I'm too lazy to be bothered about it really.